Insights
What changed, and how to share it
Movement is measured between consecutive published snapshots. Nothing is inferred before a second snapshot exists.
Snapshot dated 18 Oct 2026Results through 18 Oct 2026 · no scheduled results missing as of 18 Oct 2026 · next fixtures 18 Oct 2026
- Season
- 2026/27
- Data cutoff
- 18 Oct 2026
- Source fetched
- 18 Oct 2026, 16:17 UTC
- Model run
- 18 Oct 2026, 16:17 UTC
- Simulations
- 100,000 · seed 1613084666
- Model
- pc-xg-2.0.0
Biggest probability movers
From the run published 17 Oct 2026 (results through 17 Oct 2026) to 18 Oct 2026.
- Sunderland · relegation30% → 41%+10.5 pp
- Brighton · top four59% → 69%+10.4 pp
- Crystal Palace · relegation16% → 25%+8.7 pp
- Bournemouth · top four5% → 11%+5.4 pp
- Manchester United · top four27% → 23%−4.4 pp
- Chelsea · top four35% → 31%−3.7 pp
- Bournemouth · relegation4% → 1%−3.1 pp
- Fulham · relegation35% → 32%−2.8 pp
LinkedIn-ready summary
Generated from the published snapshot. Nothing is posted for you — sharing opens LinkedIn only when you click.
Image card
PNG with season, snapshot date, simulation count, model version and data source printed on it.
Pitchcast
Premier League 2026/27 · title probability
- Manchester City52%
- Arsenal43%
- Brighton3%
- Chelsea<1%
- Liverpool<1%
- Manchester United<1%
Snapshot dated 18 Oct 2026 · 100,000 sims · pc-xg-2.0.0 · Results data: OpenFootball (CC0), with validated final-score supplementation where available. Historical shot-based expected goals: Understat.com. Football data provided by the Football-Data.org API